Marshall vs Memphis 11/17/2011

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Marshall is a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat Memphis. Tron Martinez is projected for 52 rushing yards and a 33% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where Memphis wins, Taylor Reed averages 1.88 TD passes vs 0.62 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.05 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Jerrell Rhodes averages 51 rushing yards and 0.62 rushing TDs when Memphis wins and 44 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. Marshall has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 78% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MEM +11.5

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